Peruvian Elections have been tagged as the elections that divided our country. The BBC presented it in a map, with regions captures by one or the other party. However, preferences evolved over time and will evolve again depending on each region's news, promises, and actions.
Let us remember that the election was defined by a difference of 44 263 votes only (between the two parties) and let us add some facts that makes this difference quite interesting if we check only the second round and some unusual but feasible facts:
- There are 36 (0.4%) polling stations fully voided, it means the full list of voters voided for each polling station: 10 574 spoilt votes. There is no record to see if there was a vote intention or how that vote distribution was (or could have been).
- There are 193 (2%) polling stations fully voided after the election, it means 33 822 spoilt votes, where the assistance to the polling station was below the polling station list.
- There are 21 (0.2%) polling stations where there was not a single absence: 4505 votes.
- There are 347 (4%) polling stations (39 791 votes) with not a single spoilt vote on any of them (vs 8641 polling stations with at least one spoilt vote). 160 polling stations located abroad and 187 in Peru (only 10 in Lima).
- There are 21 polling stations with 100% valid votes for a single candidate (any of the two): 2171 votes.
Back to the map, we will present the composition of each region, the number of poll stations and the number of expected voters for each one. As Peruvians can vote abroad, we can also consider some continents as regions, as they can have more voters than certain Peruvian locations.
Country |
Region |
Poll Stations |
Total Voters |
PERU |
LIMA |
27942 |
8322644 |
PERU |
LA LIBERTAD |
4852 |
1429469 |
PERU |
PIURA |
4811 |
1396448 |
PERU |
AREQUIPA |
3950 |
1145268 |
PERU |
CAJAMARCA |
3828 |
1103247 |
PERU |
CUSCO |
3526 |
1025280 |
PERU |
JUNIN |
3425 |
982556 |
PERU |
LAMBAYEQUE |
3333 |
977656 |
PERU |
PUNO |
3163 |
922016 |
PERU |
ANCASH |
3102 |
886265 |
PERU |
CALLAO |
2754 |
824496 |
PERU |
LORETO |
2392 |
699964 |
EXTRANJERO |
AMERICA |
2253 |
661763 |
PERU |
ICA |
2223 |
651364 |
PERU |
SAN MARTIN |
2188 |
636330 |
PERU |
HUANUCO |
2051 |
586411 |
PERU |
AYACUCHO |
1704 |
473282 |
PERU |
UCAYALI |
1317 |
389889 |
PERU |
APURIMAC |
1125 |
316000 |
PERU |
AMAZONAS |
1105 |
306186 |
PERU |
HUANCAVELICA |
1094 |
299843 |
EXTRANJERO |
EUROPA |
1012 |
291798 |
PERU |
TACNA |
974 |
282974 |
PERU |
PASCO |
695 |
200682 |
PERU |
TUMBES |
574 |
167771 |
PERU |
MOQUEGUA |
524 |
148367 |
PERU |
MADRE DE DIOS |
396 |
116513 |
EXTRANJERO |
ASIA |
146 |
36910 |
EXTRANJERO |
OCEANIA |
24 |
6222 |
EXTRANJERO |
AFRICA |
5 |
340 |
Now let's observe the first regions separately, with the evolution of votes in their different elections and parties and then the final result for the last election. We will observe a comparison regarding the voters' turnout and the received votes for each party in three different elections: Congress election (2020-EC1), First round presidential election (2021-EG1), Second round presidential election (2022-EG2).
The main observation for all the results (Peru and abroad) is the evolution of the "spoilt vote", for the three last elections, we observe the peaks of "spoilt vote" for the first two elections and "Fuerza Popular" for the third one:
Now it's the turn of the biggest region Lima (1) with 27942 polling stations, the capital, with similar results and with a larger margin between FP and PL parties for the second-round election:
La Libertad (2), similar to previous charts (4852 polling stations):
(3) Piura with 4811 polling stations (the grey line is now spoilt vote):
(4) Arequipa (3950 polling stations) is the first big game-changer: the observed peaks are for Union por el Peru (for 2020 EC), Peru Libre for first and second round 2021 elections.
(5) Cajamarca (3828 p.s.) presents a different shape on the distributions. Spoil Vote on top in 2020, then Peru Libre on top for both 2021 elections. A special distribution shape is visible for Fuerza Popular in 2021-second-round (blue line).
(6) Cuzco (3526 p.s.) also similar to Cajamarca with wider distance from one candidate to another:
(7) Junin (3425 p.s.) is similar too but the difference is not as large as in the previous one:
(8) Lambayeque (3333 p.s.) with spoilt vote on top for 2020-EC1 and 2021-First Round (EG1) and then Fuerza Popular for 2021 Second Round (EG2):
(11) Callao (2754 p.s.), with Fuerza Popular on top in the 2021 second round, before the spoilt vote:
(12) Loreto (in the jungle with 2392 polling stations) the same:
And just one case from abroad: (13) America (North, Central and South America: 25 countries with 2253 polling stations) with Spoilt Vote on top for 2020, then Renovación Popular / Spoilt Vote for 2021 (First Election) and finally Fuerza Popular for the second round:
4 comentarios:
es increible la magia de los numeros claramente se ve que esta fue la elecion sui eneris , que vivimmos esos dias de suguenda vuelta donde amigos y familiares se distanciaron por charls politicas muchos de los cuales aun hoy siguen distanciado , , tambien alejandonos del contexto cientifico podriamos pensar en la mano manipuladora del fujimorismos practicando las trampas de su fundador alberto fujimori , y no seria estraño pensarlo pues como vimos en la primera vuelta hubo denuncias directas de fraudes electorales en cuando valietemente los ciudadanos denunciaron las cedulas lenadas o trapas similares a suerte no logro su objetivoy el pueblo peruano hizo oir su voz diciendo queremos un presidente humilde del pueblo que conesfuerzo titulado enseña en un alejado pueblito casi olvidado hoy tenemos un presidente que sabe loque es pasr hambre y matar un pollo de tu propio corral , talvez dios quiso que ni con trampa nos quiten la oportunidad que hoy tenemos
¿El comentario explica de alguna manera los números o es solo cháchara inútil?
solo explesaba mi admiracion por dichos numeros y tambien por la calidad matematica de mi amigo y aun asi es in creible que un cientifico de tu nivel tenga tan poca creatividad pero coo dios da barbas alqeu notieje quijada no uso creatividd sino solo casos recurentes y el caso mas recurente se ve en los latrocidios fujimoristas que llenan emerotecas y mira que coincidencia la segunda vuelta participo la hija del fundador del fujimorismo que cosas no ? talvez tu no lo notas pero tu investigacion pone de manifiesto que la corrupcion de los fujimoristas rompen esquemas
si lo que puede pasar pasara y por lo que los adultos desde 1990vimos y vivimos la corrupcion de la dictadura fujimorista es demostrado qeu por parte del fujimorismo es posible entonses podemos pensar qeu es posible esas alteraciones que se ven en las graficas es edcir si puede pasar
Gracias por tu comentario pero repito exactamente la misma pregunta:
¿El comentario previo explica de alguna manera los números o es solo cháchara inútil?
¿Añade o quita algo a lo encontrado?
Quizá suene rudo, pero no encuentro como aporta a la discusión.
Si puedes sustentarlo con hechos y cifras, encantado de seguir el diálogo, caso contrario te agradecería me comentes sobre algo de lo presentado.
Gracias
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